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Predictions of genocide When the Arab Spring fervor touched off a civil war in Libya in early 2011, U. In fact, intelligence agencies didn’t even have a good estimate of how many civilians were living in Benghazi, which was expected to be the conflict’s flashpoint, officials told The Times. Clinton’s audacious predictions, officials told The Times.
The State Department confirmed that its primary goal in 2011 was regime change, meaning ousting Gadhafi from power. Clinton about the specifics on intelligence and her own public statements. He told The New York Times that “the memory of Rwanda, alongside Iraq in ‘91, made it clear that the United States needed to act but needed international support.”With the benefit of hindsight, diplomatic analysts frown on such comparisons to Rwanda and say the rhetoric in 2011 was simply overstated.“We are prone to think in terms of analogies, and the analogy in Rwanda was one that administration officials like Hillary Clinton and others used, and I think it was an inappropriate analogy because you cannot say Libya was Rwanda,” said Paul Miller, who served as an adviser on security matters for Mr. Bush.“[Libya] was a war between an autocratic government and a bunch of tribes, and amidst that kind of war there will be a humanitarian crisis, there will be innocent people killed.
The intelligence community wasn’t the only one concerned that Mrs.
Clinton was selling the war on exaggerated pretenses.
It was based on a false report,” Seif Gadhafi, the son of the Libyan leader, said in a May 2011 phone call with Mr. “Libyan airplanes bombing demonstrators, Libyan airplanes bombing districts in Tripoli, Libyan army killed thousands, etc., etc., and now the whole world found there is no single evidence that such things happened in Libya.”The gap between Mrs.
Clinton’s rhetoric warning of a Rwanda-like slaughter of civilians in Libya and the facts gathered by career intelligence staff is taking on significance as the former secretary of state prepares another bid for the White House and her national security credentials are re-examined. The CIA had little information about the rebels leading the fight, the Libyans who set up an interim government or Gadhafi’s own intentions in repressing the rebellion, officials said. If “we were sitting here, the cries would be, ‘Why did the United States not do anything? Few objective indicators The intelligence community had few facts to back up Mrs.
Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch, both of which were tracking the crisis before the U. intervention, said there was no way to determine that spring whether Benghazi would develop into a Rwanda-type crisis.“We can’t definitively predict whether the State Department’s claims of an impending crisis on the scale of the Rwanda genocide would have come to pass,” Robyn Shepherd, a spokeswoman at Amnesty International, said in an email statement.